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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Kryvbas KR cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Veres Rivne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kryvbas KR beat Veres Rivne 1-3 at Avanhard, Regular Season - 28, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Veres Rivne 1.48 xG and Kryvbas KR 1.40 xG, a combined 2.88. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Kryvbas KR outscored their 1.40 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Veres Rivne attack 1.02 / defence 1.19 against Kryvbas KR attack 0.96 / defence 1.15, drawn from 57/57 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Veres Rivne 38% | Draw 28% | Kryvbas KR 35%, with Veres Rivne to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual Kryvbas KR win had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Veres Rivne 44%, Kryvbas KR 47%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Veres Rivne's trading profile (57 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did.

Kryvbas KR's trading profile (57 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Kryvbas KR arrived the stronger side — 1.60 PPG against 1.18. That form edge translated into the three points. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.32 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Kryvbas KR (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.11 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights