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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Mon 22 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Arena Lviv

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

41%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.43

25%

Draw

4.07

34%

Zorya Luhansk

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Total xG

2.92

1.38

Zorya Luhansk xG

41%
25%
34%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawZorya Luhansk

2.43

41%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

25%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.97

21%

Zorya Luhansk

4.66

Win to Nil

10%

Shakhtar Donetsk

9.64

7%

Zorya Luhansk

13.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.5 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.3 11.5 7.9 3.6 1.3 0.3
2 6.4 8.8 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.3 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.539
λ Away (xG) 1.380
Total xG 2.919
League avg home goals 1.221
League avg away goals 1.291
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.212
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.860
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.243
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35