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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Thu 21 May 2026

13:30

Venue

Ukraina Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

58%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.71

26%

Draw

3.89

16%

Kolos Kovalivka

6.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Total xG

2.52

0.80

Kolos Kovalivka xG

58%
26%
16%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawKolos Kovalivka

1.71

58%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

6.29

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

45%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.22

18%

Kolos Kovalivka

5.62

Win to Nil

26%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.80

3%

Kolos Kovalivka

35.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.1
1 13.8 11.0 4.4 1.2 0.2
2 12.0 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.9 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.3
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 0.797
Total xG 2.524
League avg home goals 1.257
League avg away goals 1.249
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.463
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.676
Kolos Kovalivka attack strength 0.944
Kolos Kovalivka defence strength 0.939
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59