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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

16:00

Venue

Arena Lviv

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

45%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.23

26%

Draw

3.82

29%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Total xG

2.69

1.17

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi xG

45%
26%
29%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawEpitsentr Dunayivtsi

2.23

45%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

31%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.23

22%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

4.54

Win to Nil

14%

Shakhtar Donetsk

7.22

6%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

15.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 12.1 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.2 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.514
λ Away (xG) 1.173
Total xG 2.687
League avg home goals 1.153
League avg away goals 1.278
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.636
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.993
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack strength 0.925
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi defence strength 0.803
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15