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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Ruh Lviv cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Veres Rivne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ruh Lviv beat Veres Rivne 2-0 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 28, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.05 xG and Veres Rivne 0.81 xG, a combined 1.86. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Ruh Lviv beat their projection by 0.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Veres Rivne landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.74 / defence 0.98 against Veres Rivne attack 0.80 / defence 1.23, drawn from 57/57 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 39% | Draw 35% | Veres Rivne 26%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 39%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 29%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 57% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 37% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 33%, Veres Rivne 51%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (57 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

Veres Rivne's trading profile (57 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Ruh Lviv 1.46 PPG, Veres Rivne 1.16 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Ruh Lviv win broke the near-deadlock. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.18 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.89 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights