Ruh Lviv 0-0 Minai – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Ruh Lviv at 52% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Ruh Lviv vs Minai encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Ruh Lviv and Minai meet at Arena Lviv in Premier League, Regular Season - 10. This fixture gets under way on Sunday 8 October 2023 at 13:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Ruh Lviv have collected 1.90 PPG across 10 Premier League outings this season: 5W 4D 1L. Last five: D D L D W. Offensively they are averaging 1.70 goals per game, with 0.90 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Ruh Lviv at Arena Lviv this season: 4W 6D 0L from 10 home games — 1.80 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Minai's overall Premier League record this term: 0W 3D 7L from 10 games (0.30 PPG). Last five: D L D L L. Their scoring rate of 0.60 per game is modest, conceding 2.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.10 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Minai, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Minai have gone 3W 2D 5L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 1.10 exceeds their overall 0.30 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
Form favours the hosts. Ruh Lviv's 1.90 PPG return is 1.60 points per game ahead of Minai's 0.30 — a genuine gap in recent results that provides a statistically grounded case for backing the home side.
Head-to-Head
Neither side has dominated this fixture. The last 3 head-to-head meetings have produced 0 wins for Ruh Lviv, 0 for Minai and 3 draws — an even split that leaves the H2H largely neutral as a betting input.
The 3 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 25 May 2023, ended 0–0 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading
Ruh Lviv half-time and goal-timing data (38 games, 18 at home): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 72% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 39% of games (home games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
Minai half-time and goal-timing data (38 games, 18 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 28% of games (away games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ruh Lviv 58% versus Minai 47%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Ruh Lviv 45% | Minai 26%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ruh Lviv 1.55 xG and Minai 0.86 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ruh Lviv attack 1.205 / defence 0.892 | Minai attack 0.835 / defence 1.162. League average goals — home 1.109 / away 1.157. Data: 38 Ruh Lviv games / 39 Minai games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 52% | Draw 28% | Minai 20%. Fair-value odds: Ruh Lviv 1.92 | Draw 3.57 | Minai 5.00. Ruh Lviv hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 47% | Total xG 2.41. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.41 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 47% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Ruh Lviv at 52% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Ruh Lviv if the outright odds are short.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.41 combined xG gives a 43% probability to Under 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 47%. This conflicts with form data: Ruh Lviv 70% | Minai 50% from recent games — a notable divergence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Minai | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 10 | Venue: Arena Lviv • Kick-off: Sunday 8 Oct 2023, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 52% | Draw 28% | Minai 20% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 47% | xG Ruh Lviv 1.55 / Minai 0.86 • Poisson strength factors: Ruh Lviv attack 1.205 / def 0.892 | Minai attack 0.835 / def 1.162 | league avg home 1.109 / away 1.157 • Poisson stance: Ruh Lviv (52%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.55
Ruh Lviv xG
Expected Goals
0.86
Minai xG
47%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Ruh Lviv vs Minai kick off?
Ruh Lviv vs Minai kicked off at 13:00 on Sunday 8 October 2023 at Arena Lviv.
What was the final score in Ruh Lviv vs Minai?
Ruh Lviv 0 - 0 Minai.
Where is Ruh Lviv vs Minai being played?
The match is being played at Arena Lviv.
What competition is Ruh Lviv vs Minai part of?
Ruh Lviv vs Minai is a Regular Season - 10 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ruh Lviv vs Minai?
Our statistical model gives Ruh Lviv a 52% chance of winning, Minai a 20% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Ruh Lviv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ruh Lviv vs Minai?
Our model estimates a 47% probability that both Ruh Lviv and Minai will score (BTTS).
Will Ruh Lviv vs Minai have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Minai?
Record (3 meetings): Ruh Lviv 0W | Draws 3 | Minai 0W.
What form are Ruh Lviv and Minai in?
Ruh Lviv (all comps): 5W-4D-1L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 0.90 | L5 D-D-L-D-W. Minai (all comps): 0W-3D-7L in 10 | 0.30 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 2.10 | L5 D-L-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Ruh Lviv's attack rating (1.21) and Minai's defence rating (1.16), the model arrives at 1.55 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Minai's attack (0.83x) against Ruh Lviv's defence (0.89x) — and the away total comes out at 0.86.
These ratings are built from 38/39 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.5%. Close behind: 1-0 (12.3%), 2-0 (10.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ruh Lviv Win
52%
1.91
28%
3.58
20%
5.09
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
2 – 0
10.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.55
Ruh Lviv xG
Total xG
2.41
0.86
Minai xG
1.91
52%
Home win
3.58
28%
Draw
5.09
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.14
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
42%
2.37
21%
4.73
Win to Nil
22%
4.51
4%
24.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 13.9 | 12.0 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Ruh Lviv vs Minai?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.5%.
How many goals are Ruh Lviv and Minai expected to score?
The model projects 1.55 expected goals for Ruh Lviv and 0.86 for Minai, a combined total of 2.41.
How confident is the prediction model for Ruh Lviv vs Minai?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Ruh Lviv come into this having played 38 games, going 11W 14D 13L for 1.24 points per game. Their last five reads D-D-L-D-W. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Minai sit at 0.95 PPG from 38 outings (8W 12D 18L), a run that reads D-L-D-L-L across their last five. The sample for Minai is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.24 PPG for Ruh Lviv against 0.95 for Minai. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
Ruh Lviv's home form reads 6W 10D 2L across 18 games on their own ground, a 1.56 PPG return.
Away from home, Minai have taken 1.11 points per game from 18 outings (5W 5D 8L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Ruh Lviv come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Ruh Lviv are averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game recently; Minai are on 0.71 scored and 1.29 conceded.
Last 38 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Minai
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Ruh Lviv and Minai in coming into this match?
Ruh Lviv have gone 11W 14D 13L in their last 38 games (1.24 PPG), while Minai have gone 8W 12D 18L in their last 38 (0.95 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ruh Lviv at home or Minai away?
Ruh Lviv's home record (1.56 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ruh Lviv at home: 1.56 PPG; Minai away: 1.11 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 5 times since October 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 22 April 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
The last 5 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Ruh Lviv have gone 0W 3D 0L from 3 meetings on their own ground against Minai — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 5 Meetings
0
Ruh Lviv
5
Draws
0
Minai
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Minai?
From 5 meetings on record, Ruh Lviv have won 0, Minai have won 0, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Ruh Lviv and Minai last play each other?
They last met on 22 April 2024, when Minai 1-1 Ruh Lviv.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 22% of those situations.
Minai see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Ruh Lviv 72%, Minai 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 39% for Ruh Lviv and 28% for Minai.
On the defensive side: Minai in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ruh Lviv home games / Minai away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Ruh Lviv play Minai?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 72% of Ruh Lviv's games and 50% of Minai's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Ruh Lviv vs Minai usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 39% of Ruh Lviv's recent games and 28% of Minai's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Ruh Lviv and Minai tend to score early?
Ruh Lviv have had a goal before half-time in 67% of their recent matches, Minai in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Ruh Lviv's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 10, as Ruh Lviv and Minai drew 0-0 in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.55 xG and Minai 0.86 xG, a combined 2.41. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Minai landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 1.21 / defence 0.89 against Minai attack 0.83 / defence 1.16, drawn from 38/39 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 52% | Draw 28% | Minai 20%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 52%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 36% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 45%, Minai 26%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (38 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Minai's trading profile (38 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ruh Lviv 1.24 PPG, Minai 0.95 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.94 average — tighter than their form line. Minai (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.