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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Metalist 1925 Kharkiv run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv beat Ruh Lviv 0-3 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 19, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.22 xG and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.23 xG, a combined 2.45. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv outscored their 1.23 projection by 1.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 1.05 / defence 1.14 against Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack 0.95 / defence 0.95, drawn from 48/17 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 36% | Draw 27% | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 37%, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win its most likely call at 37%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 28% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 35%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 20%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 38%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (20 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 35% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 50% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's trading profile (20 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv arrived the stronger side — 1.75 PPG against 1.00. That form edge translated into the three points. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.22 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 2.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.44 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights