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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Dynamo Kyiv run riot with a 1-5 hammering of Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dynamo Kyiv beat Ruh Lviv 1-5 at Ukraina Stadium, Regular Season - 2, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 0.85 xG and Dynamo Kyiv 1.10 xG, a combined 1.95. The scoreboard read 1-5 for 6 actual goals. Dynamo Kyiv outscored their 1.10 projection by 3.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 1.05 / defence 1.00 against Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.17 / defence 0.77, drawn from 31/31 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 28% | Draw 32% | Dynamo Kyiv 41%, with Dynamo Kyiv to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 58% and landed. Over 3.5 was 13% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 37% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 26%, Dynamo Kyiv 48%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (31 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 39% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and conceded here.

Dynamo Kyiv's trading profile (31 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 48% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Dynamo Kyiv arrived the stronger side — 2.35 PPG against 1.32. Form held, and they took the win. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) shipped 5 against a 0.81 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Dynamo Kyiv (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.94 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights