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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dynamo Kyiv cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dynamo Kyiv beat Ruh Lviv 0-2 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 22, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 0.82 xG and Dynamo Kyiv 1.27 xG, a combined 2.09. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.78 / defence 1.08 against Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.33 / defence 0.89, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 24% | Draw 29% | Dynamo Kyiv 47%, with Dynamo Kyiv to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 62% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 33%, Dynamo Kyiv 57%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (51 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Dynamo Kyiv's trading profile (51 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Dynamo Kyiv arrived the stronger side — 2.35 PPG against 1.47. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.25 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.88 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Dynamo Kyiv (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.04 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights