Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

16:00

Venue

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zorya Luhansk Win

32%

Polessya

3.15

34%

Draw

2.94

34%

Zorya Luhansk

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.8%

Away win

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Polessya xG

Total xG

1.72

0.89

Zorya Luhansk xG

32%
34%
34%
PolessyaDrawZorya Luhansk

3.15

32%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.99

66%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

41%

Polessya

2.42

43%

Zorya Luhansk

2.31

Win to Nil

13%

Polessya

7.64

15%

Zorya Luhansk

6.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.8 15.8 7.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 15.0 13.2 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 6.3 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.839
λ Away (xG) 0.885
Total xG 1.724
League avg home goals 1.107
League avg away goals 1.318
Polessya attack strength 0.844
Polessya defence strength 0.610
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.101
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43