Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

29%

Polessya

3.42

28%

Draw

3.63

43%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Polessya xG

Total xG

2.44

1.36

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

29%
28%
43%
PolessyaDrawShakhtar Donetsk

3.42

29%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

26%

Polessya

3.91

34%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.92

Win to Nil

7%

Polessya

13.37

15%

Shakhtar Donetsk

6.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 11.9 8.1 3.7 1.3 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.0 6.9 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.072
λ Away (xG) 1.363
Total xG 2.435
League avg home goals 1.168
League avg away goals 1.334
Polessya attack strength 1.111
Polessya defence strength 0.811
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.260
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.826
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38