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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

16:00

Venue

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

28%

Polessya

3.55

32%

Draw

3.09

40%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Polessya xG

Total xG

2.27

1.25

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

28%
32%
40%
PolessyaDrawShakhtar Donetsk

3.55

28%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

29%

Polessya

3.49

36%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.77

Win to Nil

8%

Polessya

12.40

14%

Shakhtar Donetsk

7.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 12.9 8.1 3.4 1.0 0.3
1 10.5 13.2 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 5.4 6.7 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 1.8 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.019
λ Away (xG) 1.249
Total xG 2.268
League avg home goals 1.252
League avg away goals 1.054
Polessya attack strength 0.919
Polessya defence strength 0.931
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.273
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 45