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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Polessya cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Polessya beat Ruh Lviv 2-0 at Tsentralnyi Stadion, Regular Season - 30, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Polessya 1.68 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.65 xG, a combined 2.32. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Polessya attack 1.15 / defence 0.86 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.61 / defence 1.20, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Polessya 61% | Draw 26% | Ruh Lviv 13%, with Polessya to win its most likely call at 61%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 37% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Polessya 37%, Ruh Lviv 37%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 42%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Polessya's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 37% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 44% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Polessya arrived the stronger side — 1.76 PPG against 1.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.14 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights