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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Polessya Win

36%

Polessya

2.75

31%

Draw

3.24

33%

Oleksandria

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Polessya xG

Total xG

2.10

1.02

Oleksandria xG

36%
31%
33%
PolessyaDrawOleksandria

2.75

36%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

36%

Polessya

2.76

34%

Oleksandria

2.97

Win to Nil

13%

Polessya

7.60

11%

Oleksandria

9.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 12.4 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.2 7.3 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.087
λ Away (xG) 1.017
Total xG 2.104
League avg home goals 1.165
League avg away goals 1.066
Polessya attack strength 1.029
Polessya defence strength 0.924
Oleksandria attack strength 1.032
Oleksandria defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56