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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 7 Apr 2025

16:00

Venue

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Polessya Win

59%

Polessya

1.69

26%

Draw

3.81

15%

Karpaty

6.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.9%

Home win

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Polessya xG

Total xG

2.06

0.58

Karpaty xG

59%
26%
15%
PolessyaDrawKarpaty

1.69

59%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

6.88

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.93

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

56%

Polessya

1.79

23%

Karpaty

4.40

Win to Nil

33%

Polessya

3.03

3%

Karpaty

30.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 7.4 2.2 0.4 0.1
1 18.8 11.0 3.2 0.6 0.1
2 13.9 8.1 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 6.9 4.0 1.2 0.2
4 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.481
λ Away (xG) 0.583
Total xG 2.064
League avg home goals 1.173
League avg away goals 0.880
Polessya attack strength 1.097
Polessya defence strength 0.968
Karpaty attack strength 0.684
Karpaty defence strength 1.151
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 22