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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Oleksandria cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Veres Rivne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Oleksandria beat Veres Rivne 3-1 at CSC Nika, Regular Season - 29, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Oleksandria 1.94 xG and Veres Rivne 0.60 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Oleksandria beat their projection by 1.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Oleksandria attack 1.28 / defence 0.79 against Veres Rivne attack 0.75 / defence 1.30, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Oleksandria 69% | Draw 20% | Veres Rivne 11%, with Oleksandria to win its most likely call at 69%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Oleksandria 48%, Veres Rivne 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Oleksandria's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and conceded here.

Veres Rivne's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Oleksandria arrived the stronger side — 1.67 PPG against 1.14. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Oleksandria (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.34 average — above their attacking norm. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.41 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights