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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Ruh Lviv edge out Oleksandria 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ruh Lviv beat Oleksandria 0-1 at KSK Nika, Regular Season - 14, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Oleksandria 0.95 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.97 xG, a combined 1.92. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Oleksandria fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Oleksandria attack 0.93 / defence 1.12 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.64 / defence 0.90, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Oleksandria 34% | Draw 32% | Ruh Lviv 35%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 35%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 30%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 57% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 38% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Oleksandria 46%, Ruh Lviv 30%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 42%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Oleksandria's trading profile (43 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and conceded here.

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (43 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 37% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Oleksandria arrived the stronger side — 1.79 PPG against 1.12. Form was overturned, with Ruh Lviv winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Oleksandria (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.71 scoring average — below par going forward. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.95 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights