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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Karpaty cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Oleksandria.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Karpaty beat Oleksandria 0-2 at KSK Nika, Regular Season - 8, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Oleksandria 1.47 xG and Karpaty 1.50 xG, a combined 2.97. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Oleksandria fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Oleksandria attack 1.29 / defence 1.04 against Karpaty attack 1.12 / defence 0.99, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Oleksandria 37% | Draw 24% | Karpaty 38%, with Karpaty to win its most likely call at 38%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Oleksandria 49%, Karpaty 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Oleksandria's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and conceded here.

Karpaty's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Oleksandria arrived the stronger side — 2.00 PPG against 1.46. Form was overturned, with Karpaty winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Oleksandria (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.78 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Karpaty (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.11 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights