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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne finished level at 1-1 at Obolon Arena, Regular Season - 8, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Obolon'-Brovar 0.97 xG and Veres Rivne 0.96 xG, a combined 1.93. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.92 / defence 0.94 against Veres Rivne attack 0.80 / defence 0.93, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Obolon'-Brovar 34% | Draw 32% | Veres Rivne 34%, with Obolon'-Brovar to win its most likely call at 34%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 58% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Obolon'-Brovar 38%, Veres Rivne 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 36%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Obolon'-Brovar's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 27% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.

Veres Rivne's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Obolon'-Brovar 1.11 PPG, Veres Rivne 1.16 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights