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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as LNZ Cherkasy edge out Obolon'-Brovar 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

LNZ Cherkasy beat Obolon'-Brovar 0-1 at Obolon Arena, Regular Season - 30, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Obolon'-Brovar 0.76 xG and LNZ Cherkasy 1.44 xG, a combined 2.20. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.93 / defence 1.22 against LNZ Cherkasy attack 0.95 / defence 0.68, drawn from 58/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Obolon'-Brovar 19% | Draw 30% | LNZ Cherkasy 52%, with LNZ Cherkasy to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 66% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 37% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Obolon'-Brovar 45%, LNZ Cherkasy 29%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 36%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Obolon'-Brovar's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 48% of games, a blank that repeated today.

LNZ Cherkasy's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, LNZ Cherkasy arrived the stronger side — 1.47 PPG against 1.03. The form guide was vindicated by the result. LNZ Cherkasy (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights