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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Metalist 1925 Kharkiv cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv beat Ruh Lviv 2-0 at Tsentralnyi Stadion, Regular Season - 4, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.82 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.16 xG, a combined 1.98. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv beat their projection by 1.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Ruh Lviv landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack 0.74 / defence 0.98 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.93 / defence 1.00, drawn from 3/33 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 26% | Draw 30% | Ruh Lviv 44%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 32%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 59% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 33% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 17%, Ruh Lviv 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's trading profile (6 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 33% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (6 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv arrived the stronger side — 1.83 PPG against 1.17. Form held, and they took the win. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv scored 2 against a 1.17 average — above their attacking norm. Ruh Lviv managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights