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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Kolos Kovalivka cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Livyi Bereh.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kolos Kovalivka beat Livyi Bereh 0-2 at Stadion Livyi Bereh, Regular Season - 24, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Livyi Bereh 0.85 xG and Kolos Kovalivka 1.11 xG, a combined 1.97. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Livyi Bereh fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Kolos Kovalivka outscored their 1.11 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Livyi Bereh attack 0.79 / defence 1.10 against Kolos Kovalivka attack 1.08 / defence 0.94, drawn from 22/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Livyi Bereh 28% | Draw 31% | Kolos Kovalivka 42%, with Kolos Kovalivka to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 59% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 25% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Livyi Bereh 23%, Kolos Kovalivka 27%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 29%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Livyi Bereh's trading profile (26 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 19% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 62% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Kolos Kovalivka's trading profile (26 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Livyi Bereh 1.04 PPG, Kolos Kovalivka 0.92 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Kolos Kovalivka win broke the near-deadlock. Livyi Bereh (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.85 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.08 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Kolos Kovalivka (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.08 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.08 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights