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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Dynamo Kyiv edge out Kudrivka 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dynamo Kyiv beat Kudrivka 1-2 at Obolon Arena, Regular Season - 15, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kudrivka 1.52 xG and Dynamo Kyiv 1.88 xG, a combined 3.40. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kudrivka attack 1.11 / defence 1.18 against Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.24 / defence 1.24, drawn from 14/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kudrivka 32% | Draw 22% | Dynamo Kyiv 46%, with Dynamo Kyiv to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 66%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 44% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kudrivka 62%, Dynamo Kyiv 62%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 72%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kudrivka's trading profile (16 games, 8 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Dynamo Kyiv's trading profile (16 games, 8 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 81% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Kudrivka 1.06 PPG, Dynamo Kyiv 1.38 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Dynamo Kyiv win broke the near-deadlock.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights