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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Ruh Lviv cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Kolos Kovalivka.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ruh Lviv beat Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 at Kolos Stadium, Regular Season - 8, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kolos Kovalivka 1.13 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.70 xG, a combined 1.83. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Kolos Kovalivka fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Ruh Lviv outscored their 0.70 projection by 1.3. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kolos Kovalivka attack 0.87 / defence 0.74 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.76 / defence 1.10, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kolos Kovalivka 46% | Draw 31% | Ruh Lviv 23%, with Kolos Kovalivka to win its most likely call at 46%. Instead the game produced a Ruh Lviv win, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 28%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 55% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 34% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 27% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kolos Kovalivka 24%, Ruh Lviv 30%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 39%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kolos Kovalivka's trading profile (37 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (37 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Kolos Kovalivka 1.35 PPG, Ruh Lviv 1.11 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Ruh Lviv win broke the near-deadlock. Kolos Kovalivka (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 0.71 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.82 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.06 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights