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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Karpaty Win
43%
2.34
29%
3.41
28%
3.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
11.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
Karpaty xG
Total xG
2.13
0.92
Shakhtar Donetsk xG
KarpatyDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2.34
43%
Home win
3.41
29%
Draw
3.59
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.37
58%
BTTS No
1.73
Clean Sheet
40%
2.50
30%
3.35
Win to Nil
17%
5.84
8%
12.03
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.9 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.4 | 13.2 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.210
λ Away (xG)
0.916
Total xG
2.126
League avg home goals
1.279
League avg away goals
0.915
Karpaty attack strength
1.052
Karpaty defence strength
0.907
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength
1.103
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength
0.900
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
20 / 49