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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Ukraina Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Karpaty Win

42%

Karpaty

2.38

29%

Draw

3.45

29%

Polessya

3.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Karpaty xG

Total xG

2.28

1.01

Polessya xG

42%
29%
29%
KarpatyDrawPolessya

2.38

42%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.45

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

36%

Karpaty

2.74

28%

Polessya

3.57

Win to Nil

15%

Karpaty

6.53

8%

Polessya

12.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.3 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.0 13.1 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.3 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.273
λ Away (xG) 1.009
Total xG 2.282
League avg home goals 1.145
League avg away goals 0.979
Karpaty attack strength 1.169
Karpaty defence strength 1.007
Polessya attack strength 1.024
Polessya defence strength 0.951
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30