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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

13:30

Venue

Stadion Ukraina

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Karpaty Win

55%

Karpaty

1.83

27%

Draw

3.76

19%

Chornomorets

5.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Karpaty xG

Total xG

2.21

0.74

Chornomorets xG

55%
27%
19%
KarpatyDrawChornomorets

1.83

55%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

5.32

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

48%

Karpaty

2.09

23%

Chornomorets

4.34

Win to Nil

26%

Karpaty

3.83

4%

Chornomorets

23.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 8.1 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 16.2 11.9 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 11.9 8.8 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 5.8 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.468
λ Away (xG) 0.738
Total xG 2.206
League avg home goals 1.169
League avg away goals 0.887
Karpaty attack strength 0.973
Karpaty defence strength 0.848
Chornomorets attack strength 0.981
Chornomorets defence strength 1.291
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 51