🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Inhulets's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at CSC Nika, Regular Season - 25, as Inhulets and LNZ Cherkasy drew 0-0 in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Inhulets 0.74 xG and LNZ Cherkasy 0.86 xG, a combined 1.60. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. LNZ Cherkasy landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Inhulets attack 0.59 / defence 1.04 against LNZ Cherkasy attack 0.81 / defence 1.05, drawn from 23/54 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Inhulets 29% | Draw 35% | LNZ Cherkasy 36%, with LNZ Cherkasy to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 22%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 47% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 30% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 39% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Inhulets 39%, LNZ Cherkasy 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Inhulets's trading profile (23 games, 8 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 35% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 52% of games, a blank that repeated today.

LNZ Cherkasy's trading profile (23 games, 8 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Inhulets 0.70 PPG, LNZ Cherkasy 0.96 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Inhulets (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.88 average — tighter than their form line. LNZ Cherkasy (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights