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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Dynamo Kyiv run riot with a 0-4 hammering of Inhulets.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dynamo Kyiv beat Inhulets 0-4 at CSC Nika, Regular Season - 27, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Inhulets 0.50 xG and Dynamo Kyiv 1.23 xG, a combined 1.73. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. Dynamo Kyiv outscored their 1.23 projection by 2.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Inhulets attack 0.52 / defence 0.88 against Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.35 / defence 0.79, drawn from 26/56 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Inhulets 15% | Draw 30% | Dynamo Kyiv 55%, with Dynamo Kyiv to win its most likely call at 55%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 25%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 52% and landed. Over 3.5 was 10% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 28% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Inhulets 35%, Dynamo Kyiv 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 42%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Inhulets's trading profile (26 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 31% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 54% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Dynamo Kyiv's trading profile (26 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 46% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Dynamo Kyiv arrived the stronger side — 2.46 PPG against 0.77. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Inhulets (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 0.73 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Dynamo Kyiv (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 2.09 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights