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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Wed 16 Apr 2025

12:45

Venue

Stadion Hirnyk

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

18%

Kryvbas KR

5.53

24%

Draw

4.10

57%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.7%

Away win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.80

Kryvbas KR xG

Total xG

2.45

1.65

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

18%
24%
57%
Kryvbas KRDrawShakhtar Donetsk

5.53

18%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

1.74

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

19%

Kryvbas KR

5.20

45%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.23

Win to Nil

3%

Kryvbas KR

28.73

26%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 14.2 11.7 6.4 2.7 0.9
1 6.9 11.4 9.4 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 2.8 4.6 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.3
3 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.802
λ Away (xG) 1.648
Total xG 2.450
League avg home goals 1.128
League avg away goals 0.982
Kryvbas KR attack strength 0.917
Kryvbas KR defence strength 1.203
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.395
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.776
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53