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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Kryvbas KR edge out Obolon'-Brovar 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kryvbas KR beat Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 at Stadion Hirnyk, Regular Season - 29, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kryvbas KR 1.54 xG and Obolon'-Brovar 0.93 xG, a combined 2.46. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Obolon'-Brovar landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kryvbas KR attack 1.17 / defence 0.99 against Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.92 / defence 1.12, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kryvbas KR 51% | Draw 27% | Obolon'-Brovar 22%, with Kryvbas KR to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 39% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kryvbas KR 43%, Obolon'-Brovar 34%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 34%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kryvbas KR's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.

Obolon'-Brovar's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 28% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 55% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Kryvbas KR arrived the stronger side — 1.72 PPG against 1.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Kryvbas KR (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.97 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights