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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Poisson model rates Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at 51%, yet other data sources diverge — this Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kudrivka fixture contains genuine analytical tension.

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Fixture Analysis

It is a Premier League clash, Regular Season - 22 as Epitsentr Dunayivtsi welcome Kudrivka to Ternopilsky Misky Stadion. Kick-off is set for Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

Form Guide

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — All Games: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Premier League outings this season, averaging 1.10 points per game. Last five: L L W W L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their games — a low BTTS rate that suggests clean sheets are a regular occurrence. This season is still relatively young for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, so this record blends games from this season and last.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's form when playing at home: 2W 1D 7L across 10 games at Ternopilsky Misky Stadion this term (0.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game.

Looking at all fixtures this season, Kudrivka stand at 1W 4D 5L from 10 Premier League matches — 0.70 PPG. Last five: D W D D L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Kudrivka, so this record blends games from this season and last.

Kudrivka's away record: 1W 2D 7L from 10 road trips in Premier League this season (0.50 PPG). Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game.

The form comparison is too close to call — 1.10 PPG (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) versus 0.70 (Kudrivka). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.

H2H

The H2H landscape is flat: 1 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, 1 for Kudrivka and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.

The 1 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 26 Sep 2025, ended 1–2 with Kudrivka winning.

With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.

Trading Patterns

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in-play and half-time data (22 games, 11 at home): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 64% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 36%; they fail to score in 36% of games.

Kudrivka in-play and half-time data (22 games, 11 at away): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 36% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 36%.

BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 41% versus Kudrivka 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 59% | Kudrivka 50%).

Poisson Model

The Poisson distribution model projects Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1.67 xG and Kudrivka 1.07 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack 1.176 / defence 1.096 | Kudrivka attack 0.796 / defence 1.174. League average goals — home 1.212 / away 1.228. Data: 21 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi games / 21 Kudrivka games used (CurrentSeason).

Result probabilities: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 51% | Draw 24% | Kudrivka 24%. Fair-value odds: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1.96 | Draw 4.17 | Kudrivka 4.17. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (24%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.

Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 53% | Total xG 2.75. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.75 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 53% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.

Our Verdict

Poisson rates Epitsentr Dunayivtsi as the most likely outcome at 51% — moderate model lean. With a 24% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Epitsentr Dunayivtsi offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.

Poisson projects 2.75 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 52% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.1 goals per game.

The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 53%. Form rates are neutral: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 50% | Kudrivka 50%.

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