Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 Ruh Lviv – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model favours Dynamo Kyiv (52%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as Dynamo Kyiv face Ruh Lviv.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv meet at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi in Premier League, Regular Season - 7. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 21 September 2024 at 16:00 UTC.
Form
Dynamo Kyiv (all games): 9W 0D 1L across 10 Premier League fixtures this term — 2.70 PPG. Last five: W W W W W. They are averaging 2.40 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. Defensively, conceding just 0.60 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Dynamo Kyiv have played only a handful of Premier League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Dynamo Kyiv have posted 9W 1D 0L at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi — 2.80 PPG. They are averaging 2.40 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 7 clean sheets from 10 home games (70%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Ruh Lviv's overall Premier League record this term: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games (1.80 PPG). Last five: W L W W D. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.10 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.80 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Ruh Lviv have played only a handful of Premier League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in Premier League this season, Ruh Lviv have posted 4W 4D 2L from 10 away outings — 1.60 PPG. Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home.
The form ledger tips toward Dynamo Kyiv. A 0.90 PPG lead over Ruh Lviv (2.70 vs 1.80) is a consistent enough margin to carry weight. If the win odds appear compressed, Draw No Bet offers draw insurance at a lower cost than a full switch to Double Chance.
H2H History
The head-to-head record favours Dynamo Kyiv, who have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Ruh Lviv — a 1D 0W return for the visitors.
The 5 previous meetings have averaged 2.4 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 25 May 2024, ended 2–1 with Dynamo Kyiv winning.
The historical record gives Dynamo Kyiv a meaningful edge here — 4 wins from 5 meetings is the kind of ledger that should not be discounted when the form picture is inconclusive. Even away from home, the visitors have struggled to impose themselves in this fixture.
Trading & In-Play
Dynamo Kyiv — key trading statistics (35 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; they lead at the break 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 35% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
Ruh Lviv — key trading statistics (35 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Dynamo Kyiv 54% versus Ruh Lviv 57%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Dynamo Kyiv 57% | Ruh Lviv 46%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Dynamo Kyiv 1.61 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.97 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.353 / defence 0.776 | Ruh Lviv attack 1.054 / defence 0.935. League average goals — home 1.276 / away 1.183. Dynamo Kyiv carry an above-average attack strength of 1.353 — their λ of 1.61 reflects genuine attacking quality above the league norm. Dynamo Kyiv's defence rating of 0.776 is below average — the home backline is amplifying the visitor's projected output. Data: 35 Dynamo Kyiv games / 35 Ruh Lviv games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Dynamo Kyiv 52% | Draw 25% | Ruh Lviv 23%. Fair-value odds: Dynamo Kyiv 1.92 | Draw 4.00 | Ruh Lviv 4.35. Dynamo Kyiv hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 48% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.58. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 48%/52% — the total xG of 2.58 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Dynamo Kyiv as the most likely outcome at 52% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Dynamo Kyiv if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.58 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 48% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Dynamo Kyiv 30% | Ruh Lviv 50% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 7 | Venue: Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi • Kick-off: Saturday 21 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Dynamo Kyiv 52% | Draw 25% | Ruh Lviv 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 48% | BTTS 50% | xG Dynamo Kyiv 1.61 / Ruh Lviv 0.97 • Poisson strength factors: Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.353 / def 0.776 | Ruh Lviv attack 1.054 / def 0.935 | league avg home 1.276 / away 1.183 • Poisson stance: Dynamo Kyiv (52%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.61
Dynamo Kyiv xG
Expected Goals
0.97
Ruh Lviv xG
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv kick off?
Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 21 September 2024 at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi.
What was the final score in Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv?
Dynamo Kyiv 0 - 0 Ruh Lviv.
Where is Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi.
What competition is Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv part of?
Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv is a Regular Season - 7 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv?
Our statistical model gives Dynamo Kyiv a 52% chance of winning, Ruh Lviv a 23% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Dynamo Kyiv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv will score (BTTS).
Will Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv?
Record (5 meetings): Dynamo Kyiv 4W | Draws 1 | Ruh Lviv 0W.
What form are Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv in?
Dynamo Kyiv (all comps): 9W-0D-1L in 10 | 2.70 PPG | GF 2.40 / GA 0.60 | L5 W-W-W-W-W. Ruh Lviv (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 2.10 / GA 0.80 | L5 W-L-W-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Dynamo Kyiv's attacking strength (1.35x league average) is weighed against Ruh Lviv's defensive record (0.94x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.61. Flip it around — Ruh Lviv's attack (1.05x) against Dynamo Kyiv's defence (0.78x) — and the away total comes out at 0.97.
These ratings are built from 35/35 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.3%. Close behind: 1-0 (10.7%), 2-0 (9.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Dynamo Kyiv Win
52%
1.90
25%
4.02
23%
4.42
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
2 – 0
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.61
Dynamo Kyiv xG
Total xG
2.58
0.97
Ruh Lviv xG
1.90
52%
Home win
4.02
25%
Draw
4.42
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
38%
2.63
20%
5.03
Win to Nil
20%
5.01
5%
22.21
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 11.8 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.3%.
How many goals are Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv expected to score?
The model projects 1.61 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv and 0.97 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 2.58.
How confident is the prediction model for Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Dynamo Kyiv's recent record stands at 27W 3D 5L from 35 games, a 2.40 PPG return, with W-W-W-W-W in the last five. It's still early in the season for Dynamo Kyiv, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Ruh Lviv, meanwhile, have gone 15W 14D 6L across 35 games — 1.69 PPG, with W-L-W-W-D in their last five. It's still early in the season for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours Dynamo Kyiv by 0.71 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Ruh Lviv heading into this one.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, Dynamo Kyiv have managed 14W 1D 2L from 17 games — 2.53 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Ruh Lviv's away record stands at 7W 6D 4L across 17 trips, a 1.59 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Dynamo Kyiv come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Dynamo Kyiv are averaging 2.37 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game recently; Ruh Lviv are on 1.63 scored and 0.97 conceded. Dynamo Kyiv's scoring rate against Ruh Lviv's tighter defensive record is one of the more interesting match-ups in the goals markets here.
Defensively: Dynamo Kyiv have kept a clean sheet in 37% of their games; Ruh Lviv in 37% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 35 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Dynamo Kyiv
Early Season
Ruh Lviv
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv in coming into this match?
Dynamo Kyiv have gone 27W 3D 5L in their last 35 games (2.40 PPG), while Ruh Lviv have gone 15W 14D 6L in their last 35 (1.69 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Dynamo Kyiv at home or Ruh Lviv away?
Dynamo Kyiv's home record (2.53 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Dynamo Kyiv at home: 2.53 PPG; Ruh Lviv away: 1.59 PPG.
Have Dynamo Kyiv or Ruh Lviv been keeping clean sheets recently?
Dynamo Kyiv have kept a clean sheet in 37% of their recent games, Ruh Lviv in 37%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 9 times that we have on record, stretching back to September 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. They last met on 20 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
Dynamo Kyiv have won the last 3 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Dynamo Kyiv won 1-5 on 8 Aug 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Dynamo Kyiv have gone 3W 1D 0L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Ruh Lviv — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
7
Dynamo Kyiv
2
Draws
0
Ruh Lviv
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv?
From 9 meetings on record, Dynamo Kyiv have won 7, Ruh Lviv have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv last play each other?
They last met on 20 February 2026, when Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Ruh Lviv.
Who has won more matches between Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv?
Dynamo Kyiv have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Dynamo Kyiv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 71% of the time.
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Dynamo Kyiv 35%, Ruh Lviv 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 47% (Dynamo Kyiv) and 53% (Ruh Lviv).
On the defensive side: Dynamo Kyiv keep a clean sheet in 53% of their matches; Ruh Lviv in 35%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Dynamo Kyiv home games / Ruh Lviv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Dynamo Kyiv play Ruh Lviv?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 35% of Dynamo Kyiv's recent matches and 59% of Ruh Lviv's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Dynamo Kyiv vs Ruh Lviv usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 47% of Dynamo Kyiv's recent games and 53% of Ruh Lviv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv tend to score early?
Dynamo Kyiv have had a goal before half-time in 82% of their recent matches, Ruh Lviv in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Dynamo Kyiv's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Regular Season - 7, as Dynamo Kyiv and Ruh Lviv drew 0-0 in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Dynamo Kyiv 1.61 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.97 xG, a combined 2.58. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Dynamo Kyiv fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Ruh Lviv landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.35 / defence 0.78 against Ruh Lviv attack 1.05 / defence 0.94, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Dynamo Kyiv 52% | Draw 25% | Ruh Lviv 23%, with Dynamo Kyiv to win its most likely call at 52%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Dynamo Kyiv 57%, Ruh Lviv 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Dynamo Kyiv's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and duly kept one.
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Dynamo Kyiv arrived the stronger side — 2.40 PPG against 1.69. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Dynamo Kyiv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.35 scoring average — below par going forward. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.65 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.