Konyaspor 0-0 Göztepe – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Göztepe at 41% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Konyaspor vs Göztepe encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
Göztepe travel to Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium to take on Konyaspor in Süper Lig (matchday 21). The game is scheduled for Sunday 8 February 2026 at 14:00 UK time.
Form Guide
Konyaspor — last 10 games: 0W 5D 5L, averaging 0.50 points per game. Last five: L D D D L. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings (10%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home, Konyaspor have gone 2W 4D 4L in their last 10 home games (1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.00 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.50 — Konyaspor are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
Looking at their last 10 matches, Göztepe stand at 7W 2D 1L — 2.30 PPG. Last five: W W W D W. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 0.60. Defensively, 0.60 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not.
Göztepe's away record over their last 10 away games: 5W 3D 2L (1.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from their last 10 away games (50%) — they are hard to break down on the road.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Göztepe are 1.80 PPG ahead (2.30 vs 0.50), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides in our head-to-head data. From 5 H2H matches, Konyaspor have won 3, Göztepe 1, with 1 draw — a balanced record that offers no clear steer on its own.
The 5 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 29 Aug 2025, ended Konyaspor 1–1 Göztepe — a draw.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Konyaspor in-play tendencies (last 56 games, 28 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 68% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; of the 13 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 38%; BTTS occurs in 64% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
Göztepe in-play tendencies (last 56 games, 28 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 68% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 72% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 61% of those occasions; of the 23 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 26%; of the 8 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 38%; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Konyaspor 66% and Göztepe 55% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Konyaspor 52% | Göztepe 46%). There is an in-play dynamic worth noting: Konyaspor surrender their half-time lead 38% of the time, while Göztepe have come from behind at the break to draw or win in 38% of cases — a combination that makes laying the hosts at HT a potential angle.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Konyaspor 0.94 xG and Göztepe 1.29 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Konyaspor attack 0.891 / defence 1.048 | Göztepe attack 0.949 / defence 0.814. League average goals — home 1.296 / away 1.299. Data: built from Konyaspor's last 56 games and Göztepe's last 56.
Result probabilities: Konyaspor 23% | Draw 36% | Göztepe 41%. Fair-value odds: Konyaspor 4.31 | Draw 2.77 | Göztepe 2.46. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 36% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 39% | BTTS Yes probability 48% | Total xG 2.23. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 61% — total xG of 2.23 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS No at 52% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Göztepe are the pick at 41% — marginal model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 36% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Göztepe offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.23 combined xG gives a 61% probability to Under 2.5 — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Konyaspor 70% (last 10 home games) | Göztepe 40% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Konyaspor vs Göztepe | Competition: Süper Lig, matchday 21 | Venue: Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 8 February 2026 at 14:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Konyaspor 23% | Draw 36% | Göztepe 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 39% (Under 61%) | BTTS Yes 48% (No 52%) | xG Konyaspor 0.94 / Göztepe 1.29 • Poisson strength factors: Konyaspor attack 0.891 / def 1.048 | Göztepe attack 0.949 / def 0.814 | league avg home 1.296 / away 1.299 • Poisson stance: Göztepe (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.94
Konyaspor xG
Expected Goals
1.29
Göztepe xG
48%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Konyaspor vs Göztepe FAQs
What time does Konyaspor vs Göztepe kick off?
Konyaspor vs Göztepe kicked off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 8 February 2026 at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium.
What was the final score in Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Konyaspor 0 - 0 Göztepe.
Where is Konyaspor vs Göztepe being played?
The match is being played at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium.
What competition is Konyaspor vs Göztepe part of?
Konyaspor vs Göztepe is a Süper Lig fixture (matchday 21) (Turkey).
Who is favourite to win Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Our statistical model gives Konyaspor a 23% chance of winning, Göztepe a 41% chance, and a 36% chance of a draw — making Göztepe the favourite.
Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Konyaspor and Göztepe will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (52%).
Will Konyaspor vs Göztepe have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 39%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (61%).
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Konyaspor's attacking strength (0.89x league average) is weighed against Göztepe's defensive record (0.81x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.94. The same calculation in reverse, Göztepe's attack versus Konyaspor's defence, projects 1.29 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Konyaspor's last 56 games and Göztepe's last 56 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.7%. Close behind: 0-0 (12.4%), 0-1 (12.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Göztepe Win
23%
4.31
36%
2.77
41%
2.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
0 – 0
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.94
Konyaspor xG
Total xG
2.23
1.29
Göztepe xG
4.31
23%
Home win
2.77
36%
Draw
2.46
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.08
52%
BTTS No
1.93
Clean Sheet
27%
3.64
39%
2.56
Win to Nil
6%
15.68
16%
6.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7 | 13.9 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Konyaspor vs Göztepe Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.7%.
How many goals are Konyaspor and Göztepe expected to score?
The model projects 0.94 expected goals for Konyaspor and 1.29 for Göztepe, a combined total of 2.23.
How confident is the prediction model for Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Konyaspor come into this having played 56 games, going 17W 14D 25L for 1.16 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-D-D-L.
On the other side, Göztepe sit at 1.59 PPG from 56 outings (24W 17D 15L), a run that reads W-W-W-D-W across their last five.
Göztepe carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.43 PPG clear of Konyaspor — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Konyaspor's home form reads 11W 9D 8L across their last 28 home games, a 1.50 PPG return.
Away from home, Göztepe have taken 1.14 points per game from their last 28 away games (8W 8D 12L). That's a step down from their 1.59 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Göztepe's recent record.
Goals in Recent Form
Konyaspor are averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game recently; Göztepe are on 1.54 scored and 1.11 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Konyaspor have seen both teams score in 66% of their recent games.
Last 56 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Konyaspor
Blended
Göztepe
Blended
Konyaspor (Home) vs Göztepe (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Konyaspor
Blended
Göztepe
Blended
❓ Konyaspor vs Göztepe Form FAQs
What form are Konyaspor and Göztepe in coming into this match?
Konyaspor have gone 17W 14D 25L in their last 56 games (1.16 PPG), while Göztepe have gone 24W 17D 15L in their last 56 (1.59 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Konyaspor at home or Göztepe away?
Konyaspor's home record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Konyaspor at home: 1.50 PPG; Göztepe away: 1.14 PPG.
Have Konyaspor or Göztepe been keeping clean sheets recently?
Konyaspor have kept a clean sheet in 18% of their recent games, Göztepe in 34%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 6 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 4 years from November 2021. All of them came in Süper Lig. The most recent was on 8 February 2026, roughly 9 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The most recent 2 H2H matches in our data have all been drawn — an unusually settled run for this fixture.
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 3 Apr 2022, when Konyaspor won Konyaspor 3-0 Göztepe.
Konyaspor's record when hosting Göztepe specifically: 2W 1D 0L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
3
Konyaspor
2
Draws
1
Göztepe
Recent Meetings
❓ Konyaspor vs Göztepe H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Göztepe?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, Konyaspor have won 3, Göztepe have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Konyaspor and Göztepe last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 8 February 2026: Konyaspor 0-0 Göztepe.
Who has won more matches between Konyaspor and Göztepe?
Konyaspor have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Konyaspor are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 38% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Göztepe are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 62% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Konyaspor 64%, Göztepe 61% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Konyaspor) and 46% (Göztepe).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Konyaspor home games / Göztepe away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Konyaspor vs Göztepe Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Konyaspor and Göztepe matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 64% of Konyaspor's games and 61% of Göztepe's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Konyaspor and Göztepe matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Konyaspor's recent games and 46% of Göztepe's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Konyaspor and Göztepe matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 68% of Konyaspor's recent matches and 68% of Göztepe's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Konyaspor's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Regular Season - 21, as Konyaspor and Göztepe drew 0-0 in the Süper Lig. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Konyaspor 0.94 xG and Göztepe 1.29 xG, a combined 2.23. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Konyaspor fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Göztepe landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Konyaspor attack 0.89 / defence 1.05 against Göztepe attack 0.95 / defence 0.81, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Konyaspor 23% | Draw 36% | Göztepe 41%, with Göztepe to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 36%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Konyaspor 52%, Göztepe 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Konyaspor's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.
Göztepe's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Göztepe arrived the stronger side — 1.59 PPG against 1.16. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Konyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line. Göztepe (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.29 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.46 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.