Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Eyüpspor at 56%, yet other data sources diverge — this Eyüpspor vs Amed fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Süper Lig clash, Regular Season - 27 as Eyüpspor welcome Amed to . Kick-off is set for Sunday 4 April 2027 at 17:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Süper Lig games this season, Eyüpspor have gone 3W 2D 5L from 10 outings — a 1.10 PPG return. Last five: W W D W D. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Eyüpspor haven't played a Süper Lig game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
Eyüpspor's home record at : 3W 2D 5L from 10 Süper Lig appearances (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eyüpspor 1.81 xG and Amed 0.93 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eyüpspor attack 0.990 / defence 0.954 | Amed attack 0.850 / defence 1.150. League average goals — home 1.592 / away 1.143. Data: 34 Eyüpspor games / 0 Amed games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Eyüpspor 56% | Draw 26% | Amed 17%. Fair-value odds: Eyüpspor 1.79 | Draw 3.85 | Amed 5.88. The model has a clear lean to Eyüpspor (56%) — a 39pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.74. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.74 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Eyüpspor as the most likely outcome at 56% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 26% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.74 combined xG gives a 52% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (0 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eyüpspor vs Amed | Competition: Süper Lig, Regular Season - 27 | Venue: • Kick-off: Sunday 4 Apr 2027, 17:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
⚔️ Head-to-Head History
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
📈 Recent Form
• No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data • Eyüpspor (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-W-D-W-D • Eyüpspor home split: 1.10 PPG from 10 | GF 1.30 / GA 1.20 | CS 3
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eyüpspor 56% | Draw 26% | Amed 17% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 52% | xG Eyüpspor 1.81 / Amed 0.93 • Poisson strength factors: Eyüpspor attack 0.990 / def 0.954 | Amed attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | league avg home 1.592 / away 1.143 • Poisson stance: Eyüpspor (56%) — strong lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.81
Eyüpspor xG
Expected Goals
0.93
Amed xG
52%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score probability matrix is a Premium feature
Upgrade to see the exact probability of every scoreline from 0-0 to 6-6, not just the headline 1X2 split.
Upgrade to Premium⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eyüpspor vs Amed kick off?
Eyüpspor vs Amed is scheduled to kick off at 17:00 on Sunday 4 April 2027.
What competition is Eyüpspor vs Amed part of?
Eyüpspor vs Amed is a Regular Season - 27 fixture in the Süper Lig (Turkey).
Who is favourite to win Eyüpspor vs Amed?
Our statistical model gives Eyüpspor a 56% chance of winning, Amed a 17% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Eyüpspor the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eyüpspor vs Amed?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Eyüpspor and Amed will score (BTTS).
Will Eyüpspor vs Amed have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eyüpspor and Amed?
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
What form are Eyüpspor and Amed in?
• No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data • Eyüpspor (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-W-D-W-D • Eyüpspor home split: 1.10 PPG from 10 | GF 1.30 / GA 1.20 | CS 3
What do the betting odds say about Eyüpspor vs Amed?
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture