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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Saturday 16 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Crewe
2 : 0 FT
Notts County
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
#2 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#3 League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 League Two · England
Doncaster
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 League One · England
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Bray Wanderers
1 : 3 FT
Drogheda United
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58%
#10 League One · England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 League Two · England
Bromley
1 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 League Two · England
Accrington ST
2 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 League Two · England
Morecambe
0 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 25%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 3 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#15 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#16 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 16 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.