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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Wed 23 Dec 2026

11:30

Venue

Thalay Luang Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Sukhothai FC Win

41%

Sukhothai FC

2.46

33%

Draw

3.06

27%

BG Pathum United

3.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Sukhothai FC xG

Total xG

2.27

0.99

BG Pathum United xG

41%
33%
27%
Sukhothai FCDrawBG Pathum United

2.46

41%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.75

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

37%

Sukhothai FC

2.70

28%

BG Pathum United

3.58

Win to Nil

15%

Sukhothai FC

6.65

7%

BG Pathum United

13.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 10.3 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 13.1 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 8.4 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.6 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.274
λ Away (xG) 0.993
Total xG 2.267
League avg home goals 1.585
League avg away goals 1.019
Sukhothai FC attack strength 0.977
Sukhothai FC defence strength 0.966
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.008
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.822
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30