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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Bangkok United cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Sukhothai FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bangkok United beat Sukhothai FC 1-3 at Thung Talay Luang Stadium, Regular Season - 24, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sukhothai FC 1.32 xG and Bangkok United 1.53 xG, a combined 2.85. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Bangkok United outscored their 1.53 projection by 1.5. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sukhothai FC attack 1.01 / defence 1.07 against Bangkok United attack 1.21 / defence 0.80, drawn from 53/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sukhothai FC 32% | Draw 27% | Bangkok United 41%, with Bangkok United to win its most likely call at 41%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sukhothai FC 64%, Bangkok United 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sukhothai FC's trading profile (52 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Bangkok United's trading profile (52 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Bangkok United arrived the stronger side — 2.08 PPG against 1.13. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Sukhothai FC (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.27 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Bangkok United (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.73 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights