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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Rayong FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Sukhothai FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Rayong FC beat Sukhothai FC 2-0 at Rayong Provincial Stadium, Regular Season - 10, in the Thai League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rayong FC 1.40 xG and Sukhothai FC 0.99 xG, a combined 2.39. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Sukhothai FC landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rayong FC attack 1.02 / defence 1.05 against Sukhothai FC attack 0.82 / defence 0.88, drawn from 39/38 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rayong FC 44% | Draw 32% | Sukhothai FC 24%, with Rayong FC to win its most likely call at 44%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rayong FC 63%, Sukhothai FC 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 68%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Rayong FC's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.

Sukhothai FC's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Rayong FC 1.16 PPG, Sukhothai FC 1.21 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rayong FC win broke the near-deadlock. Rayong FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.53 average — tighter than their form line. Sukhothai FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights