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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Ratchaburi run riot with a 5-0 hammering of Lamphun Warrior.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ratchaburi beat Lamphun Warrior 5-0 at Dragon Solar Park, Regular Season - 8, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ratchaburi 1.47 xG and Lamphun Warrior 0.98 xG, a combined 2.45. The scoreboard read 5-0 for 5 actual goals. Ratchaburi beat their projection by 3.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Lamphun Warrior landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ratchaburi attack 0.81 / defence 0.89 against Lamphun Warrior attack 0.93 / defence 1.17, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ratchaburi 47% | Draw 30% | Lamphun Warrior 23%, with Ratchaburi to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 23% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ratchaburi 54%, Lamphun Warrior 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ratchaburi's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.

Lamphun Warrior's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Ratchaburi arrived the stronger side — 1.76 PPG against 1.16. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Ratchaburi (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.94 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Lamphun Warrior (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.94 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 1.56 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights