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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Sam Ao Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Prachuap Win

46%

Prachuap

2.16

26%

Draw

3.81

27%

BG Pathum United

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Prachuap xG

Total xG

3.13

1.35

BG Pathum United xG

46%
26%
27%
PrachuapDrawBG Pathum United

2.16

46%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

26%

Prachuap

3.84

17%

BG Pathum United

5.98

Win to Nil

12%

Prachuap

8.29

5%

BG Pathum United

21.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.9 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.8 10.5 7.1 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 4.1 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.788
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 3.134
League avg home goals 1.786
League avg away goals 1.340
Prachuap attack strength 1.067
Prachuap defence strength 0.997
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.008
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.939
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30