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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Port FC run riot with a 4-1 hammering of Rayong FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Port FC beat Rayong FC 4-1 at PAT Stadium, Regular Season - 30, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Port FC 1.69 xG and Rayong FC 1.20 xG, a combined 2.89. The scoreboard read 4-1 for 5 actual goals. Port FC beat their projection by 2.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Port FC attack 0.90 / defence 1.08 against Rayong FC attack 0.87 / defence 1.09, drawn from 59/29 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Port FC 48% | Draw 26% | Rayong FC 26%, with Port FC to win its most likely call at 48%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Port FC 59%, Rayong FC 66%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 69%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Port FC's trading profile (29 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did.

Rayong FC's trading profile (29 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Port FC arrived the stronger side — 1.55 PPG against 1.10. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Port FC (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.86 average — above their attacking norm. Rayong FC (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 2.07 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights