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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Port FC cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Ayutthaya FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Port FC beat Ayutthaya FC 3-1 at PAT Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Thai League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Port FC 1.96 xG and Ayutthaya FC 1.11 xG, a combined 3.06. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Port FC beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Port FC attack 1.04 / defence 1.00 against Ayutthaya FC attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 30/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Port FC 55% | Draw 26% | Ayutthaya FC 19%, with Port FC to win its most likely call at 55%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 37% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights