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Poisson model rates Pattani at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this Pattani vs Uthai Thani fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Uthai Thani make the trip to Rainbow Stadium to face Pattani in Thai League 1, Regular Season - 16. The match kicks off on Sunday 7 February 2027 at 11:00 UTC.
Current Form
Uthai Thani (all games): 2W 3D 5L across 10 Thai League 1 outings this term — 0.90 points per game. Last five: W L D L L. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Uthai Thani haven't played a Thai League 1 game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
When travelling in Thai League 1 this season, Uthai Thani have posted 1W 3D 6L from 10 away outings — 0.60 PPG. Away from home they average 0.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Pattani 1.33 xG and Uthai Thani 1.02 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Pattani attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Uthai Thani attack 0.869 / defence 0.991. League average goals — home 1.585 / away 1.019. Data: 0 Pattani games / 30 Uthai Thani games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Pattani 42% | Draw 32% | Uthai Thani 26%. Fair-value odds: Pattani 2.38 | Draw 3.12 | Uthai Thani 3.85. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 49% | Total xG 2.35. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.35 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 49% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Pattani are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 32% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Pattani if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.35 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 42% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (0 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Pattani vs Uthai Thani | Competition: Thai League 1, Regular Season - 16 | Venue: Rainbow Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 7 Feb 2027, 11:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
⚔️ Head-to-Head History
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
📈 Recent Form
• No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data • Uthai Thani (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-L-D-L-L • Uthai Thani away split: 0.60 PPG from 10 | GF 0.50 / GA 1.60 | CS 2
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Pattani 42% | Draw 32% | Uthai Thani 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 49% | xG Pattani 1.33 / Uthai Thani 1.02 • Poisson strength factors: Pattani attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Uthai Thani attack 0.869 / def 0.991 | league avg home 1.585 / away 1.019 • Poisson stance: Pattani (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.33
Pattani xG
Expected Goals
1.02
Uthai Thani xG
49%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
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❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Pattani vs Uthai Thani kick off?
Pattani vs Uthai Thani is scheduled to kick off at 11:00 on Sunday 7 February 2027 at Rainbow Stadium.
Where is Pattani vs Uthai Thani being played?
The match is being played at Rainbow Stadium.
What competition is Pattani vs Uthai Thani part of?
Pattani vs Uthai Thani is a Regular Season - 16 fixture in the Thai League 1 (Thailand).
Who is favourite to win Pattani vs Uthai Thani?
Our statistical model gives Pattani a 42% chance of winning, Uthai Thani a 26% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Pattani the favourite.
Will both teams score in Pattani vs Uthai Thani?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both Pattani and Uthai Thani will score (BTTS).
Will Pattani vs Uthai Thani have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between Pattani and Uthai Thani?
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
What form are Pattani and Uthai Thani in?
• No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data • Uthai Thani (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-L-D-L-L • Uthai Thani away split: 0.60 PPG from 10 | GF 0.50 / GA 1.60 | CS 2
What do the betting odds say about Pattani vs Uthai Thani?
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture