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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Ratchaburi cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Nakhon Ratchasima FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ratchaburi beat Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0-2 at 80th Birthday Stadium, Regular Season - 3, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1.24 xG and Ratchaburi 1.58 xG, a combined 2.82. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Nakhon Ratchasima FC fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Nakhon Ratchasima FC attack 0.81 / defence 0.97 against Ratchaburi attack 1.16 / defence 0.89, drawn from 32/32 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Nakhon Ratchasima FC 29% | Draw 26% | Ratchaburi 45%, with Ratchaburi to win its most likely call at 45%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Nakhon Ratchasima FC 56%, Ratchaburi 59%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Nakhon Ratchasima FC's trading profile (32 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Ratchaburi's trading profile (32 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Ratchaburi arrived the stronger side — 1.75 PPG against 1.12. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Nakhon Ratchasima FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward. Ratchaburi (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.94 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights