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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Nakhon Ratchasima FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Chonburi FC finished level at 0-0 at 80th Birthday Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Thai League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2.00 xG and Chonburi FC 1.29 xG, a combined 3.29. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Nakhon Ratchasima FC fell 2.0 short of their projected output. Chonburi FC landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Nakhon Ratchasima FC attack 0.97 / defence 1.11 against Chonburi FC attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 30/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Nakhon Ratchasima FC 53% | Draw 24% | Chonburi FC 23%, with Nakhon Ratchasima FC to win its most likely call at 53%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 24% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights