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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Port FC cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Lamphun Warrior.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Port FC beat Lamphun Warrior 0-2 at 700th Anniversary Stadium, Regular Season - 10, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lamphun Warrior 1.51 xG and Port FC 1.35 xG, a combined 2.86. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Lamphun Warrior fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lamphun Warrior attack 1.12 / defence 1.31 against Port FC attack 0.88 / defence 0.86, drawn from 39/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lamphun Warrior 39% | Draw 29% | Port FC 32%, with Lamphun Warrior to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual Port FC win had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lamphun Warrior 56%, Port FC 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lamphun Warrior's trading profile (39 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Port FC's trading profile (39 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Port FC arrived the stronger side — 1.64 PPG against 1.10. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Lamphun Warrior (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.58 scoring average — below par going forward. Port FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.32 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights