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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Wed 30 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

Chang Arena

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Buriram United Win

84%

Buriram United

1.19

11%

Draw

8.82

5%

Nong Bua Pitchaya

21.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

4 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.08

Buriram United xG

Total xG

3.77

0.68

Nong Bua Pitchaya xG

84%
11%
Buriram UnitedDrawNong Bua Pitchaya

1.19

84%

Home win

8.82

11%

Draw

21.14

5%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

51%

Buriram United

1.98

5%

Nong Bua Pitchaya

21.85

Win to Nil

42%

Buriram United

2.35

0%

Nong Bua Pitchaya

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 7.1 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 11.0 7.5 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 11.3 7.7 2.6 0.6 0.1
4 8.7 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
5 5.4 3.7 1.2 0.3

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.084
λ Away (xG) 0.681
Total xG 3.765
League avg home goals 1.724
League avg away goals 1.274
Buriram United attack strength 1.495
Buriram United defence strength 0.769
Nong Bua Pitchaya attack strength 0.694
Nong Bua Pitchaya defence strength 1.196
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 29