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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 30 Apr 2027

12:00

Venue

True BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

54%

BG Pathum United

1.85

28%

Draw

3.57

18%

Uthai Thani

5.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.58

0.89

Uthai Thani xG

54%
28%
18%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawUthai Thani

1.85

54%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

5.60

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

41%

BG Pathum United

2.44

19%

Uthai Thani

5.38

Win to Nil

22%

BG Pathum United

4.51

3%

Uthai Thani

30.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 6.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.8 11.4 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.683
λ Away (xG) 0.892
Total xG 2.575
League avg home goals 1.585
League avg away goals 1.019
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.072
BG Pathum United defence strength 1.006
Uthai Thani attack strength 0.870
Uthai Thani defence strength 0.991
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30