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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

13:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

48%

BG Pathum United

2.08

31%

Draw

3.23

21%

Port FC

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.44

0.94

Port FC xG

48%
31%
21%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawPort FC

2.08

48%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

39%

BG Pathum United

2.55

22%

Port FC

4.50

Win to Nil

19%

BG Pathum United

5.31

5%

Port FC

21.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.2 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.1 12.3 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.2 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.9 4.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.504
λ Away (xG) 0.936
Total xG 2.440
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.210
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.062
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.978
Port FC attack strength 0.790
Port FC defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35